Who Has The Toughest Region? 4A Boys

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Some of the Palmer Ridge pack has gone the way of graduation, but much of it is back again this fall, meaning 4A Region 2 doesn't look to be taking any serious dips from previous years. Photo by Eric Hippe.


This time, it's 4A Boys. 

As per the established custom, I'll first link here to last year's evaluation of the toughest 4A Boys region coming out of the state meet.

But, as we've repeated often, last year isn't this year, so we want to take a look at returning runners to start getting a grasp on which region figures likely to boast the toughest advancement to State prospects.

If you want all the gruesome detail of the virtual meet scoring of returning runners for this fall, here it is. A more compact version of the top 25 teams (based on returning runners only) and their associated regions is provided below:

1. Silver Creek - 4

2. Palmer Ridge - 2

3. Niwot - 3

4. Air Academy - 2

5. Glenwood Springs - 1

6. Greeley Central- 4

7. Centaurus - 3

8. Cheyenne Mountain - 5

9. Battle Mountain - 1

10. Discovery Canyon - 2

11. Evergreen - 1

12. Widefield - 5

13. Pine Creek - 2

14. Eagle Valley - 1

15. Mullen - 1

16. Durango - 5

17. Green Mountain - 1

18. Standley Lake - 3

19. Mead - 4

20. Valor Christian - 3

21. Montrose - 5

22. Littleton - 1

23. Pueblo South - 5

24. Golden - 1

25. Fort Morgan - 4

Next, we take those results and team score them by region:

Region 1 - 5, 9, 11, 14 = 39

Region 2 - 2, 4, 10, 13 = 29

Region 3 - 3, 7, 18, 20 = 48

Region 4 - 1, 6, 19, 25 = 51

Region 5 - 8, 12, 16, 21 = 57

From those data, it would appear that 4A Region 2, a perennially tough region, has the inside track on being this year's toughest ticket to State in the 4A Boys ranks. It's worth noting, though, that 4A Region 2 is (or at least has been) a definite two-tier region--with some of the state's very best teams and some teams that struggle annually to crack the top 25. 

The Western Slope region (plus a few Front Range teams) is also solid, and probably a bit deeper region as well. There figure to be no easy rides to State out of 4A Region 1.

We could also add a couple of observations here that might easily influence some things.

One, Discovery Canyon showed a lot of improvement in distance events over the 2016-17 school year. At this point, I think most people who follow things closely would give them better than a #10 ranking coming into the fall (look for a preview article about this team soon).

Two, although he gives up a half-season of eligibility to do so, Cole Sprout will be in Valor blue this fall. That pretty much automatically bumps Valor up from the #20 ranking shown above. How much up remains to be seen.


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