State Prognosticating: 1A Girls

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Taylor Alexander is one of the reasons Vail Christian is among the team favorites heading into the 1A state meet. Photo by David Pressgrove.

This much is certain--Colorado will have a new 1A girls state champion this spring. Merino doesn't have a chance. Merino is now in 2A. 

And that leaves a vacancy on the throne. Competition for the throne seems to boil down to four teams: Vail Christian, Dove Creek, Shining Mountain Waldorf, and Idalia. If you know a little bit of Colorado geography, you also know that four schools pretty well cover the span of the state.

It goes without saying that you either have to have a star athlete (or two or three) or unthinkable depth for a 1A school to be in the 1A title hunt. Merino had a little of both, but probably more in the way of depth. Still, an athlete who can single-handedly put up 30 to 40 points can offset a good deal of depth.

Shining Mountain Waldorf may have the 40-point athlete. Ginger Hutton is currently ranked #1 i...