Liberty Bell to State, 2011

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Kirk Webb took over late in the 2011 State meet race. Photo by Alan Versaw.

Of all the years of Liberty Bell to State relationships we've looked at thus far, the 2011 relationship most closely models the 2014 relationship. Though not identical courses, the difficulty factor of the Arapahoe County Fairgrounds course rivaled that of the NPEC/BCRP course and we see that reflected in the table below. And, we see it in a year where temperature and barometric pressure conditions were pretty decent for State, particularly where temperature was concerned. The correlation between Liberty Bell and State placing is low, and the aberrations are not merely a changing of order, but more of people taking serious drops in placement.

Liberty Bell - 72F, 29.84 (5 PM)

State - 54F, 29.92 (11 AM)

Coefficient of correlation for placing: r = .36 (the data are arguably non-linear, though not quite as clearly so as in 2014)

As a continuing note of expla...