Even without the services of Ben Dingman late in the season, Rampart managed to hang onto their preseason projected #7 finish last fall. Photo by Alan Versaw.
5A Boys 2015 Virtual Meet Team Scoring as a Predictor of State Finish
Here is what we were seeing for a virtual meet before last season started:
# | Team | Score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mountain Vista High School | 64 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 23 | - | - |
2 | Fort Collins High School | 109 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 44 | - | - |
3 | Arapahoe High School | 193 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 47 | 90 | - | - |
4 | Monarch High School | 199 | 2 | 27 | 50 | 53 | 67 | - | - |
5 | Rocky Mountain High School | 245 | 1 | 19 | 41 | 49 | 135 | - | - |
6 | Rock Canyon High School | 283 | 31 | 45 | 60 | 71 | 76 | - | - |
7 | Rampart High School | 323 | 11 | 34 | 78 | 92 | 108 | - | - |
8 | Fairview High School | 366 | 13 | 30 | 64 | 99 | 160 | - | - |
9 | Fossil Ridge High School | 370 | 9 | 25 | 56 | 133 | 147 | - | - |
10 | Boulder High School | 374 | 17 | 24 | 51 | 104 | 178 | - | - |
11 | Chaparral High School | 387 | 14 | 16 | 72 | 126 | 159 | - | - |
12 | Cherry Creek High School | 417 | 43 | 52 | 54 | 120 | 148 | - | - |
And this is how the top 12 had settled out by the state meet:
TEAM SCORES | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PLACE | TEAM | POINTS | SCORERS | TIMES | ||
1 | Mountain Vista High School | 50 | 5+6+8+11+20 (24+101) | 0:42 1-5 Split | 16:31 Avg | ||
2 | Fort Collins High School | 110 | 10+13+21+22+44 (64+75) | 0:46 1-5 Split | 16:56 Avg | ||
3 | Arapahoe High School | 147 | 3+9+39+42+54 (93+108) | 1:21 1-5 Split | 16:57 Avg | ||
4 | Boulder High School | 154 | 14+26+27+28+59 (106+142) | 0:45 1-5 Split | 17:05 Avg | ||
5 | Arvada West High School | 173 | 16+30+38+43+46 (116+134) | 0:31 1-5 Split | 17:12 Avg | ||
6 | Monarch High School | 224 | 1+29+52+63+79 (98+149) | 1:41 1-5 Split | 17:11 Avg | ||
7 | Rampart High School | 269 | 19+33+68+72+77 (82+119) | 0:45 1-5 Split | 17:24 Avg | ||
8 | Chaparral High School | 270 | 15+35+45+76+99 (115+130) | 1:15 1-5 Split | 17:25 Avg | ||
9 | Broomfield High School | 279 | 2+40+55+85+97 (137+165) | 1:56 1-5 Split | 17:20 Avg | ||
10 | Legend High School | 282 | 18+41+53+57+113 (160+161) | 1:18 1-5 Split | 17:28 Avg | ||
11 | Cherry Creek High School | 291 | 7+49+65+83+87 (111+114) | 1:33 1-5 Split | 17:25 Avg | ||
12 | Fossil Ridge High School | 305 | 12+17+86+90+100 (109+127) | 1:22 1-5 Split | 17:29 Avg |
Initial Assessment
Other than sharp rises by Arvada West, Rock Canyon, and Boulder and a bit of a dip by Rocky Mountain and Fairview, the preseason state meet did a solid job of picking the top three teams in correct order and getting nine of the eventual top 12 teams projected into the top 12. This isn't the best prognostication we've seen but it is solid nonetheless.
Look tomorrow (Wednesday) for a more detailed assessment of how preseason virtual meets performed in getting us a reasonably clear picture of how state would end up.